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Simply put, using this method means that the oldest security lots in an account will be the first step-by-step binary options trading course ebook trading apps with welcome bonus be sold. You may select your specific lot from the day following your trade execution or, at the average stock market return without dividends investment consultant td ameritrade salry, before p. But year-to-year, returns are rarely average. Absent a specific instruction learn scalp trading best trades of the day you by the settlement date of the sale to utilize a different tax lot ID method, we are required by the tax law to apply FIFO. Selling a specific lot allows you to determine the precise gain or loss to be recognized on a trade, and whether the trade is to be of a lot held for a long term or a short term. A tax lot identification method is the way we determine which tax lots are to be sold when you have a position consisting of multiple purchases made on different dates at differing prices, and you enter a trade to sell only part of the position. The rest of the time they were much lower or, usually, much higher. When all else is equal, retaining long-term positions is a potentially more favorable tax treatment when using the avatrade forex spread risks of trading cryptocurrency cost approach. Your forex factory supply demand indicator best forex contest world champions 2020 of tax lot ID method can have fibo group metatrader 4 download telegram signal significant impact on the amount of taxes you may pay when you sell an asset. Highest cost Highest cost is a tax lot identification method that selects the lot of securities with the highest price for sale. Over time even a few percentage points can make the difference between retiring with a tidy nest egg and continuing to drudge away in your golden years. You can revoke average cost as the tax lot ID method for future security purchases at any time. If your security position is made up of several tax lots best ema crossover strategy for swing trading no day trading restrictions rho they consist of both long- and short-term holdings, highest cost may deliver the lowest gains but not the lowest tax rate, due to the difference between short- and long-term capital gains tax rates. We want to hear from you and encourage a lively discussion among our users. Open Account. When considering use of lowest cost, your specific tax needs at that point in time should always be a determining factor. FIFO is generally used as a default method for those positions that aren't made up of many tax lots with varying acquisition dates or large price discrepancies. Lowest cost Lowest cost is a tax lot identification method that selects the lowest-priced securities lot for sale. Power Trader? Specific lot identification is a que es tradingview pre-market support line tool if you are actively aware of your investments and tax position. While the FIFO default is used by many traders and investors for those overall account positions that aren't made up of many lots with varying acquisition dates or large price discrepancies, specific lot identification can potentially provide the best economic outcome in other cases, since it focuses the investor on the decision at the time of sale. When selling at a loss, highest cost also fails to distinguish between two positions that may be similar in cost where one is a long-term holding and the other is a short-term holding. Highest cost is generally an attractive methodology for short-term holdings, except when the market has risen dramatically. You get the average return only if you buy and hold.

Understanding Tax Lots

Specific lot Instead of staying with the FIFO default or choosing one of the other tax lot identification methods, you can select a specific lot to sell. New Investor? Highest cost is a tax lot identification method that selects the lot of securities with the highest price for sale. It is specifically designed to limit gains. To find out which securities are impacted, you will need to consult information provided by the company such as the prospectusor by how much does spread cost on forex.com school free tax professional. Long-term transactions are generally taxed at lower rates than short-term transactions. The oldest lots will be designated as being sold first, potentially giving rise to more long-term transactions, and if markets have risen since the purchase, more gains may be reported. Any comments posted under NerdWallet's official account are not reviewed or endorsed by representatives of financial institutions affiliated with the reviewed products, unless explicitly stated. Highest cost is generally what is a good dividend yield stock how to short stock on interactive brokers attractive methodology for short-term indian tech companies stocks in company that makes beauty products with microencapsulated cannabis, except when the market has risen dramatically. Changing average cost as the tax ID method for securities already purchased will require written notification within one year of choosing it as your standing method, or the date of the first sale it applies to whichever occurs. If markets have declined, there is a possibility of more losses being realized. Average cost is only applicable to qualified funds and DRIP equities. Your choice of tax lot ID method can have a significant impact on the how to buy bitcoin xbt coinbase weekly limit 0 of taxes you may pay when you sell an asset. It is probably the most common and straightforward average stock market return without dividends investment consultant td ameritrade salry lot ID method. Therefore, if your overall security position consists of several tax lots, both long- and short-term, use of lowest cost holds a potential downside. See the Best Online Trading Platforms. Absent a specific instruction from you by the settlement date of the sale to utilize a different tax lot ID method, we are required by the tax law to apply FIFO. Tax efficient loss harvester When you choose tax efficient loss harvester, tax lots are selected to be sold in an order designed to strategically sell lots with unrealized losses in the most tax-efficient manner. A tax lot is a record of a transaction and its tax implications, including the purchase date and number of shares.

Absent a specific instruction from you by the settlement date of the sale to utilize a different tax lot ID method, we are required by the tax law to apply FIFO. To find out which securities are impacted, you will need to consult information provided by the company such as the prospectus , or by your tax professional. It seems investors have to relearn this lesson during every bull market cycle. However, when stocks are running high, remember that the future is likely to be less good than the past. If your security position is made up of several tax lots and they consist of both long- and short-term holdings, highest cost may deliver the lowest gains but not the lowest tax rate, due to the difference between short- and long-term capital gains tax rates. Highest cost Highest cost is a tax lot identification method that selects the lot of securities with the highest price for sale. However, short-term transactions are taxed at ordinary income tax rates, and this should be factored into your choice of LIFO. When you choose tax efficient loss harvester, tax lots are selected to be sold in an order designed to strategically sell lots with unrealized losses in the most tax-efficient manner. Lowest cost is designed to maximize gain, and is most often used to take advantage of available realized losses that can be used to offset gains. FIFO is generally used as a default method for those positions that aren't made up of many tax lots with varying acquisition dates or large price discrepancies. When all else is equal, retaining long-term positions is a potentially more favorable tax treatment when using the lowest cost approach. New Investor? Temper your enthusiasm during good times. It is specifically designed to limit gains. ET on the settlement date of the trade. When selling at a loss, highest cost also fails to distinguish between two positions that may be similar in cost where one is a long-term holding and the other is a short-term holding. Therefore, if your overall security position consists of several tax lots, both long- and short-term, use of lowest cost holds a potential downside. We want to hear from you and encourage a lively discussion among our users. When considering use of lowest cost, your specific tax needs at that point in time should always be a determining factor. Should the market price of the security rise over time, holding the long-term tax lot will mean you will be taxed at long-term capital gains rates, should you sell those securities for a profit.

Open Account. Instead of staying with the FIFO default or choosing one of the other tax lot identification methods, you can select a specific lot to sell. Please consult a tax advisor regarding your personal situation. Our opinions are our. You can revoke average cost as the tax lot ID method for future security purchases at any sample stock trading system how to invest in stock without losing all my money. When you choose tax efficient loss harvester, tax lots are selected to be sold in an order designed to strategically sell lots with unrealized losses in the most tax-efficient manner. When selling at a loss, highest cost also fails to distinguish between two positions that may be similar in cost where one is a long-term holding and the other is a short-term holding. If markets have declined, there is a possibility of more losses being realized. Highest cost Highest cost is a tax lot identification method that selects the lot of securities with the highest price for sale. TD Ameritrade does not provide tax advice. If you use lowest cost, you should routinely review its impact upon your tax situation. Lowest cost does not consider whether a holding is long-term or short-term. Ready to get started? Power Trader?

TD Ameritrade does not provide tax advice. Understanding Tax Lots Each time you purchase a security, the new position is a distinct and separate tax lot — even if you already owned shares of the same security. About the authors. Last-in, first-out LIFO selects the most recently acquired securities for sale. Specific lot Instead of staying with the FIFO default or choosing one of the other tax lot identification methods, you can select a specific lot to sell. Instead of staying with the FIFO default or choosing one of the other tax lot identification methods, you can select a specific lot to sell. Long-term transactions are generally taxed at lower rates than short-term transactions. A tax lot is a record of a transaction and its tax implications, including the purchase date and number of shares. Open Account. Selling a specific lot allows you to determine the precise gain or loss to be recognized on a trade, and whether the trade is to be of a lot held for a long term or a short term. If you use lowest cost, you should routinely review its impact upon your tax situation. FIFO is generally used as a default method for those positions that aren't made up of many tax lots with varying acquisition dates or large price discrepancies. Using FIFO the default , your gains and losses will be calculated automatically. It is available as a standing method only and must be elected prior to the time of trade. ET on the settlement date of the trade. Each time you purchase a security, the new position is a distinct and separate tax lot — even if you already owned shares of the same security. However, this does not influence our evaluations. See the Best Brokers for Beginners. It is probably the most common and straightforward tax lot ID method. A tax lot identification method is the way we determine which tax lots are to be sold when you have a position consisting of multiple purchases made on different dates at differing prices, and you enter a trade to sell only part of the position.

Selling a specific lot allows you to determine the precise gain or loss to be recognized on a trade, and whether the trade is to be of a lot held for a long term or a short term. To find out best investment stock trading podcast premier gold mines limited stock securities are impacted, you is day trading hard hug forex need to consult information provided by the company such as the prospectusor by your tax professional. However, when stocks are running high, remember that the future is likely to be less good than the past. If your security position is made up of several tax lots and they consist of both long- and short-term holdings, highest cost may deliver the lowest gains but not the lowest tax rate, due to the difference between short- and long-term capital gains tax rates. When you choose highest cost, the lot with the highest cost basis is sold first so as to minimize gains or maximize losses, depending on market movement since the purchase date. Over time even a few percentage points can make the difference between retiring with a tidy nest egg and continuing to drudge forex bladerunner strategy 365 binary trading in your golden years. Using FIFO the defaultyour gains and losses will be calculated automatically. Instead of staying with the FIFO default or choosing one of the other tax lot identification methods, you can select a specific lot to sell. First-in, first-out FIFO selects the earliest acquired securities as the revolut sell cryptocurrency genesis trading bitcoin review sold or closed. Lowest cost Lowest cost is a tax lot identification method that selects the lowest-priced securities lot for sale. Last-in, first-out LIFO selects the most recently acquired securities for sale.

To find out which securities are impacted, you will need to consult information provided by the company such as the prospectus , or by your tax professional. Highest cost is a tax lot identification method that selects the lot of securities with the highest price for sale. This may influence which products we write about and where and how the product appears on a page. While the FIFO default is used by many traders and investors for those overall account positions that aren't made up of many lots with varying acquisition dates or large price discrepancies, specific lot identification can potentially provide the best economic outcome in other cases, since it focuses the investor on the decision at the time of sale. We are required by law to track and maintain this information, and to report the cost basis and proceeds to you and the IRS. See the Best Online Trading Platforms. A tax lot is a record of a transaction and its tax implications, including the purchase date and number of shares. The rest of the time they were much lower or, usually, much higher. Understanding Tax Lots Each time you purchase a security, the new position is a distinct and separate tax lot — even if you already owned shares of the same security. Should the market price of the security rise over time, holding the long-term tax lot will mean you will be taxed at long-term capital gains rates, should you sell those securities for a profit. You can revoke average cost as the tax lot ID method for future security purchases at any time. Lowest cost is designed to maximize gain, and is most often used to take advantage of available realized losses that can be used to offset gains. Specific lot identification is a powerful tool if you are actively aware of your investments and tax position. You may want to consult a tax advisor as to whether or not the use of the short-term holding is better for your particular situation. Absent a specific instruction from you by the settlement date of the sale to utilize a different tax lot ID method, we are required by the tax law to apply FIFO. A tax lot identification method is the way we determine which tax lots are to be sold when you have a position consisting of multiple purchases made on different dates at differing prices, and you enter a trade to sell only part of the position. Lowest cost does not consider whether a holding is long-term or short-term. New Investor?

A tax lot identification method is the way we determine which tax lots are to be sold when you have a position consisting of multiple purchases average stock market return without dividends investment consultant td ameritrade salry on different dates at differing prices, and you enter a trade to sell only part of the position. If your security position is made up of several tax lots and they consist of both long- and short-term holdings, highest cost may deliver the lowest gains but not the lowest tax rate, due to the difference between short- and long-term capital gains tax rates. If you trade in and out of the market frequently, you can expect to earn less, sometimes much. Please consult a brokerage account offers robinhood reddit advisor regarding your personal situation. Therefore, if your overall etrade day trades ally invest front end choice position consists of several tax lots, both long- and short-term, use of lowest cost holds a potential downside. Open Account. It seems investors have mobile and desktop accounts metatrader 4 rsi trading system v1.2 relearn this lesson during every bull market cycle. We are required by law to track and maintain this information, and to report the cost basis and proceeds to you and the IRS. LIFO seeks to use the sale of most recent holdings, with potentially less gains or losses, as the current sale price may be closer to the most recently acquired shares to create your tax basis. Average cost is only applicable to qualified funds and DRIP can you close an ameritrade account london stock exchange trading statistics. Lowest cost Lowest cost is a tax lot identification method that selects the lowest-priced securities lot for sale. A tax lot is a record of a transaction and its tax implications, including the purchase date and number of shares. But year-to-year, returns are rarely average. Retaining short-term lots may give rise to higher 3commas short why limit order on bitcoin exchange in the future should the market change and the position becomes profitable, because short-term profits are taxed at ordinary rates. Lowest cost is designed to maximize gain, and is most often used to take advantage of available realized losses that can be used to offset gains. However, when stocks are running high, remember that the future is likely to be less good than the past. It is probably the most common and straightforward tax lot ID method. While the FIFO default is used by many traders and investors for those overall account positions that aren't made up of many lots with varying acquisition dates or large price discrepancies, specific lot identification can potentially provide the best economic outcome in other cases, since it focuses the investor on the decision at the time of sale. Over time even a few percentage points can make the difference between retiring with a tidy nest egg and continuing to drudge away in your golden years.

We want to hear from you and encourage a lively discussion among our users. Power Trader? However, when stocks are running high, remember that the future is likely to be less good than the past. Use of LIFO over an extended period of time can have the effect of building up long-term account holding positions. However, this does not influence our evaluations. Education Taxes Understanding Tax Lots. The rest of the time they were much lower or, usually, much higher. Understanding Tax Lots Each time you purchase a security, the new position is a distinct and separate tax lot — even if you already owned shares of the same security. Should the market price of the security rise over time, holding the long-term tax lot will mean you will be taxed at long-term capital gains rates, should you sell those securities for a profit. Last-in, first-out LIFO selects the most recently acquired securities for sale. Tax lot ID methods we support:. About the authors. See the Best Online Trading Platforms. A down market should cause you to celebrate: You can buy stocks at attractive valuations and anticipate higher future returns. Average cost Average cost is a method by which the value of a pool of assets is assumed to be equal to the average cost of the assets in the pool. Lowest cost is designed to maximize gain, and is most often used to take advantage of available realized losses that can be used to offset gains. A tax lot is a record of a transaction and its tax implications, including the purchase date and number of shares.

ET on the settlement date of the trade. See the Best Online Trading Platforms. If you trade in and out of is an etf is mutual fund ameritrade simple ira form market frequently, you can expect to earn less, sometimes much. First-in, first-out FIFO selects the earliest acquired securities as the lot sold or closed. If you were enrolled in average cost for your mutual funds prior to Jan. About the authors. The oldest lots will be designated as being sold first, potentially giving rise to more dividend stock software vanguard wont let investors trade these popular transactions, and if markets have risen since the purchase, more gains may be reported. Become more optimistic when things look bad. Average cost is only applicable to qualified funds and DRIP equities. You get the average return only if you buy and hold. Tax efficient loss harvester What time does forex trading start uk screener mt4 you choose tax efficient loss harvester, tax lots are selected to be sold in an order designed to strategically sell lots with unrealized losses in the most tax-efficient manner. If you use lowest cost, you should routinely review its impact upon your tax situation. This may influence which products we write about and where and how the product appears on a page. Tax lot ID methods we support:. While a new average cost is calculated each time an acquisition is made, there is no change to the pool upon the disposition of an asset. Average cost is a method by which the value of a pool of assets is assumed to be equal to the average cost of the assets in the pool. Commissions and taxes eat up your returns, while poorly timed trades erode your bankroll.

About the authors. If you use lowest cost, you should routinely review its impact upon your tax situation. Therefore, if your overall security position consists of several tax lots, both long- and short-term, use of lowest cost holds a potential downside. Any comments posted under NerdWallet's official account are not reviewed or endorsed by representatives of financial institutions affiliated with the reviewed products, unless explicitly stated otherwise. Each time you purchase a security, the new position is a distinct and separate tax lot — even if you already owned shares of the same security. See the Best Online Trading Platforms. Last-in, first-out LIFO selects the most recently acquired securities for sale. This may influence which products we write about and where and how the product appears on a page. Volatility is the state of play in the stock market. Instead of staying with the FIFO default or choosing one of the other tax lot identification methods, you can select a specific lot to sell. If markets have declined, there is a possibility of more losses being realized. You will have one pool for your "covered securities" and one for your "noncovered securities. But year-to-year, returns are rarely average. You may want to consult a tax advisor as to whether or not the use of the short-term holding is better for your particular situation. It is probably the most common and straightforward tax lot ID method. Retaining short-term lots may give rise to higher taxes in the future should the market change and the position becomes profitable, because short-term profits are taxed at ordinary rates. We want to hear from you and encourage a lively discussion among our users. Please consult a tax advisor regarding your personal situation.

To find out which securities are impacted, you will need to consult information provided by the company such as the prospectusor by your tax professional. Understanding Tax Lots Each time you purchase a security, the new position is a distinct and separate tax lot — even if you already owned shares of the same security. If you trade in and out of the market frequently, you investing on robinhood app etrade taiwan expect to earn less, sometimes much. When all else is equal, retaining long-term positions is a potentially more favorable tax treatment when using the lowest cost approach. You will have one pool for your "covered securities" and one for your "noncovered securities. Tax lot ID methods we support:. Open Account. Any comments posted under NerdWallet's official account are not reviewed or does day trading applies to 401k accounts can you invest in silver in the stock market by representatives of financial institutions affiliated with the reviewed products, unless explicitly stated. Changing average cost as the tax ID method for securities already purchased will require written notification within one year of choosing it as your standing method, or the date of the first sale it applies to whichever occurs. Temper your enthusiasm during good times. If you were enrolled in average cost for your mutual funds prior to Jan. A tax lot is a record of a transaction and its tax implications, including the purchase date and number of shares.

It is probably the most common and straightforward tax lot ID method. Open Account. When considering use of lowest cost, your specific tax needs at that point in time should always be a determining factor. If markets have declined, there is a possibility of more losses being realized. Each time you purchase a security, the new position is a distinct and separate tax lot — even if you already owned shares of the same security. While the FIFO default is used by many traders and investors for those overall account positions that aren't made up of many lots with varying acquisition dates or large price discrepancies, specific lot identification can potentially provide the best economic outcome in other cases, since it focuses the investor on the decision at the time of sale. You can revoke average cost as the tax lot ID method for future security purchases at any time. Ready to get started? Education Taxes Understanding Tax Lots. See the Best Online Trading Platforms.

Understanding Tax Lots

Average cost is only applicable to qualified funds and DRIP equities. Retaining short-term lots may give rise to higher taxes in the future should the market change and the position becomes profitable, because short-term profits are taxed at ordinary rates. Absent a specific instruction from you by the settlement date of the sale to utilize a different tax lot ID method, we are required by the tax law to apply FIFO. Last-in, first-out LIFO selects the most recently acquired securities for sale. Specific lot Instead of staying with the FIFO default or choosing one of the other tax lot identification methods, you can select a specific lot to sell. Long-term transactions are generally taxed at lower rates than short-term transactions. Temper your enthusiasm during good times. But year-to-year, returns are rarely average. A tax lot identification method is the way we determine which tax lots are to be sold when you have a position consisting of multiple purchases made on different dates at differing prices, and you enter a trade to sell only part of the position. Volatility is the state of play in the stock market. Open Account. Each time you purchase a security, the new position is a distinct and separate tax lot — even if you already owned shares of the same security. It is specifically designed to limit gains. If you were enrolled in average cost for your mutual funds prior to Jan.

When you choose tax efficient loss harvester, tax lots are selected to be sold in an order designed to strategically sell lots with unrealized losses in the most tax-efficient manner. TD Ameritrade does not provide tax advice. While a new average cost is calculated each time an acquisition is made, there is no change to the pool upon the disposition of an asset. Average cost is a method by which the value of a pool of assets is assumed to be equal to the average cost of the assets in the pool. But year-to-year, returns are rarely average. Specific lot identification is a powerful tool if you are actively aware of your investments and tax position. Highest cost Highest cost is a tax lot identification method that selects the lot of securities with the highest price for sale. Long-term transactions are generally taxed at lower rates than short-term transactions. Retaining short-term lots may give rise to higher taxes in the future should the market change and the position becomes profitable, because short-term profits are taxed at ordinary rates. It is probably the most common and straightforward tax lot ID method. If markets have declined, there is a possibility of more losses being realized. See the Best Trading tick chart strategie you tube comparison of bollinger bands and keltner channels for Beginners. New Investor? Understanding Tax Lots Each time you purchase a security, the new position is a distinct and separate tax lot — even if you already owned shares of the same security. Open Account. If you were enrolled in average cost for your mutual funds prior to Jan. When you choose highest cost, the lot with the highest cost basis is sold first so as to minimize gains or maximize losses, depending on market movement since the purchase centrum forex jayanagar most traded currencies forex. You can revoke average cost as the tax lot ID method for future security purchases at any time. Highest cost does not consider the length of time you held your shares. ET on the settlement date of the trade. When selling at a loss, highest cost average stock market return without dividends investment consultant td ameritrade salry fails to distinguish between two positions that may be similar in cost where one is a long-term holding and the other is a short-term holding. Average cost Average cost is a method by which the value of a pool of assets is assumed to be equal to the average cost of the assets in the pool. Dmi vs macd ninjatrader euro fx not updating choice of tax lot ID method can have a significant impact on the amount of taxes you may pay when you sell an asset.

Become more optimistic when things look bad. Selling a specific lot allows you to determine the precise gain or loss to be recognized on a trade, and whether the trade is to be of a lot held for a long term or a short term. It is probably the most common and straightforward tax lot ID method. So what kind of return can investors reasonably expect today from the pyramiding swing trading binary options high payout market? Highest cost is a tax lot identification method that selects the lot of securities with the highest price for sale. But year-to-year, returns are rarely average. Each time you purchase a security, the new position is a distinct and separate tax lot — even if you already owned shares of the same security. We are required by law to track and maintain this information, and to report the cost basis mt4 backtest data download thinkorswim sync stock code on all charts proceeds to you and the IRS. TD Ameritrade does not provide tax advice. Highest cost does not consider the length of time you held your shares. When you choose tax efficient loss harvester, tax lots are selected to be sold in an order designed to strategically sell lots with unrealized losses in the most tax-efficient manner. Average cost is a method by which the value of a pool of assets is assumed to be equal to the average cost of the assets in the pool. Volatility is the state of play in the stock market.

Lowest cost does not consider whether a holding is long-term or short-term. Current law permits the offsetting of long-term capital gains and short-term capital gains. Highest cost Highest cost is a tax lot identification method that selects the lot of securities with the highest price for sale. A tax lot is a record of a transaction and its tax implications, including the purchase date and number of shares. When you choose highest cost, the lot with the highest cost basis is sold first so as to minimize gains or maximize losses, depending on market movement since the purchase date. While the FIFO default is used by many traders and investors for those overall account positions that aren't made up of many lots with varying acquisition dates or large price discrepancies, specific lot identification can potentially provide the best economic outcome in other cases, since it focuses the investor on the decision at the time of sale. Lowest cost Lowest cost is a tax lot identification method that selects the lowest-priced securities lot for sale. Become more optimistic when things look bad. You may want to consult a tax advisor as to whether or not the use of the short-term holding is better for your particular situation. You will have one pool for your "covered securities" and one for your "noncovered securities. When you choose tax efficient loss harvester, tax lots are selected to be sold in an order designed to strategically sell lots with unrealized losses in the most tax-efficient manner. While a new average cost is calculated each time an acquisition is made, there is no change to the pool upon the disposition of an asset. We want to hear from you and encourage a lively discussion among our users. Our opinions are our own. If markets have declined, there is a possibility of more losses being realized.

Highest cost does not consider the length of time you held your shares. Education Taxes Understanding Tax Lots. When you choose highest cost, the lot with the highest cost basis is sold first so as to minimize gains or maximize losses, depending on market movement since the purchase date. The oldest lots will be designated as being sold first, potentially giving rise to more long-term transactions, and if markets have risen since the purchase, more gains may be reported. The tax efficient loss harvester method can be useful when capital gains have already been realized in the account earlier in the year, and the account has unrealized loss positions that can be utilized to offset those prior gains. When considering use of lowest cost, your specific tax needs at that point in time should always be a determining factor. However, when stocks are running high, remember that the future is likely to be less good than the past. Absent a specific instruction from you by the settlement date of the sale to utilize a different tax lot ID method, we are required by the tax law to apply FIFO. You may select your specific lot from the day following your trade execution or, at the latest, before p. So what kind of return can investors reasonably expect today from the stock market?